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COVID-19
Job Seeker Findings

Talroo continues to examine labor market data and fluctuations as the country grapples with the COVID-19 pandemic and stuttering state re-openings. In this month’s infographic, we look at attitudes from the most affected segment of the workforce – America’s hourly workers. We ask when they think they’ll return to work, and we’ll also show what our data reveals about the shifting relationship between job postings and job seeker searches.

Job seeker attitudes
in the face of COVID

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In June, we surveyed over 10k job seekers from Talroo’s audience network and saw some candid results from those workers who have been laid off.

Only 12% definitively think they will return to their previous job

Do you think you will be able to return to your previous job?

Chart of job seeker responses to whether they think they’ll return to their previous job.

Job seekers in these industries were most pessimistic about returning:

Office admin icon.

Office
Admins

Customer support icon.

Customer
Support

Logistics icon.

Warehouse
& Logistics

Industries that were slightly more POSITIVE about returning to their previous jobs include…

16.4%

Restaurant

17.4%

Healthcare

14.5%

Retail

Though these are not exactly
optimistic numbers.

Wide-ranging expectations for return-to-work timing

Thumbs up or down icon.

We asked workers in all industries when they anticipated a return to work, and responses were mixed.

Sad face icon.

Industries most likely to expect a 6+ month layoff were Restaurant, Office Admin, and Customer Support.

Smiley face icon.

On the other side, Healthcare, Retail, and Warehouse & Logistics were more optimistic about a 1- to 2-month return to work.

When do you think you
will return to work?

Chart of job seeker responses about returning to work.

Returning to work without worry?

How comfortable would you be returning to the workplace without a COVID-19 vaccine?

Chart of job seeker responses to concern over returing to work.
Logistics icon.

Warehouse & Logistics workers were the most comfortable returning to the workplace even without a widespread COVID-19 vaccine.

Healthcare icon.

The least comfortable? Healthcare workers, as one might expect given the obvious risks and documented patient-to-worker transmissions.

The survey did not ask if healthcare workers would return regardless of comfort level, but we see them valiantly doing this every day.

Laid Off vs. Furloughed?

Restaurant icon.

Restaurant

Office admin icon.

Office /
Admin

Manufacturing icon.

Manufacturing

Healthcare icon.

Healthcare

Retail icon.

Retail

Logistics icon.

Warehouse
& Logistics

Other industries icon.

Other

Total industries icon.

Total

Laid Off 70.3% 83.3% 86.3% 73.9% 61.4% 78.8% 78.2% 76.7%
Furloughed 29.7% 16.7% 13.7% 26.1% 38.6% 21.3% 21.8% 23.3%

Layoffs as a % of impact was highest in Construction & Manufacturing, while furloughs were more prevalent in Retail and Restaurant.

In the news...

3M unemployment icon.

June 12th

Over 3 million workers file for “first-time” unemployment claims so far in June.

2020 calendar icon.

June 22nd

President Trump signs executive order to suspend the issuance of certain temporary worker visas (H1-B, H2-B, H-4, L-1, and certain J-1) through the end of 2020.

13 percent circle chart icon.

June 25th

The current unemployment rate hits 13.4%, putting more than 39 million Americans out of work.

American Airlines icon.

June 26th

American Airlines announces it will resume the sale of middle seats, making social distancing in the air an impossibility.

United States icon.

June 28th

At least 16 states have paused reopening efforts as 36 states report increasing COVID-19 cases.

Amazon icon.

June 29th

Amazon announces $500M in bonuses for front-line employees who have remained with the company throughout the month of June.

Dow Jones icon.

June 30th

Despite widespread economic uncertainty, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallies 470 points in June to close out its best quarter since 1987.

BLS unemployment icon.

July 2nd

BLS announces unemployment is at 11.1% nationwide for June, down from 13.3% in May. Despite the labor market improvement, spiking COVID cases is still cause for concern.

***Sources: Bezinga, Department of Labor, USA Today, CNBC, CNN, BLS, Business Insider

Jobs vs. searches, a signal of job health

Trucking

Trucking jobs versus searches chart.

This chart shows the changing relationship between employer job postings compared to job seeker active searches.

This is a national view on Trucking jobs, one of the largest segments of the workforce in America. Trucking job postings fell in March and April, and recovered in June, compared to job seeker search activity. In simple terms, as the purple line increases, this indicates that the ratio for job postings vs. job seeker searches is improving, a signal of job market recovery.

Trucking jobs versus searches chart legend.

Jobs vs. Searches for Industries with Most Activity

Using the Jobs vs. Searches index, this chart looks at industries with the highest volume of activity in this period.

Jobs versus searches chart.
Jobs versus searches chart legend.

The Jobs vs. Searches index shows that Retail continues to falter; Restaurants, Customer Service, and Construction are holding steady in June. Nursing, Trucking, and Warehouse & Logistics are seeing growth in job postings at a faster rate than job searches, which bodes well for those job seekers.

Summary

There are definitely signs that the job market is picking up in certain industries. Deeper analysis shows varying behavior by region, state, and city as well. The recent flare-ups in COVID-19 cases, however, may have a significant effect on employer behavior, as well as jobseeker activity, through the month of July.

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For a deeper dive

Visit our previous infographics at talroo.com/resources

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*** Source: Talroo’s Insights business intelligence tool sifted through 6 billion points of data including job postings and job seeker activity from March - June 2020. Insights also provides major and minor job classification data as well as geographic data from the national level to cities and zip codes.